Evaluation of the EU Aviation Sector’s Progress Towards Net-Zero CO2 Emission by 2050

Authors : Caner İlhan, Aybike Esra Şahin

Pages : 261-277

Doi:10.21076/vizyoner.1500869

View : 48 | Download : 38

Publication Date : 2025-02-28

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :The study examines 31 years of aviation-related CO2 emission data from 1990 to 2021, utilizing advanced modeling techniques such as linear regression and Prophet to anticipate CO2 emissions for the critical years 2030 and 2050. The report digs into each country\\\'s performance, assessing their promises to cut or even eliminate carbon emissions in line with the ambitious targets of the European Green Deal. Romania emerges as a noteworthy pioneer, demonstrating a remarkable commitment to decreasing emissions by an average of 47.22% by 2030 and 56.54% by 2050, establishing itself as a vital contributor to carbon neutrality. On the other hand, Luxembourg, Poland, and Spain are recognized as countries that deviate considerably from the established targets, raising worries about their capacity to reach the ambitious goals set by the European Green Deal. The study not only gives insights into expected CO2 emission trajectories but also helps our knowledge of the obstacles and possibilities each nation has in achieving the carbon-neutral ambitions described in the European Green Deal.
Keywords : Havacılık, Avrupa Yeşil Mutabakatı, Doğrusal Regresyon, Prophet, Sürdürülebilirlik