CHANGES IN HEALTH EXPENDITURE RELATIVE TO INFLATION: PROSPECTIVE IMPLICATIONS FOR TÜRKİYE

Authors : Zeynep Özmen Bol, Serkan Cantürk

Pages : 37-50

Doi:10.18092/ulikidince.1608149

View : 190 | Download : 947

Publication Date : 2025-10-29

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :This study aims to examine how healthcare expenditures can be sustained during periods of high inflaiton in Türkiye. For this purpose, healthcare expenditure and inflation data from 2010 to 2019 were analyzed, and projections were developed for 2023. The methodology involves the evaluation of historical data using time series analysis and economic projections. The findings show that the healthcare expenditure growth rate, below 5%, is far lower than the expected 14.3%, placing significant financial pressure on the sector. The COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukraine war have directly impacted healthcare expenditures in Turkey. These events have exacerbated inflation and widened budget deficits, placing additional strain on the sustainability of public healthcare funding. As a result, it is projected that the share of the public budget allocated to healthcare needs to increase by approximately 7% by 2040. The study highlights the challenges of increasing public resources and recommends a greater contribution from the private sector. Developing innovative strategies is crucial for ensuring the sustainable financing of the healthcare sector.
Keywords : Enflasyon, Sağlık Harcamalarının Sürdürülebilirliği, Kamu Finansmanı

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