Evaluation of the change in the economic and purchasing power of the welfare of cattle breeding in Türkiye

Authors : Seyfettin Tuncel, Taylan Taner Doğan, Pınar Ayvazoğlu Demir
Pages : 112-122
Doi:10.33188/vetheder.1600369
View : 82 | Download : 62
Publication Date : 2025-06-15
Article Type : Research Paper
Abstract :In this study, economic welfare changes in cattle fattening in Türkiye in 2010-2022 were analyzed with the Net internal terms of trade (NITOT) index and purchasing power changes were analyzed with the Income internal terms of trade (INTOT) index. Accordingly, the sustainability status of the enterprises was analyzed multidimensionally on the axis of parameters such as meat imports, agriculture and livestock subsidies and milk-feed parity. When meat import data are included, it can be seen that INTOT, the purchasing power parity indicator, changed little between 2010 and 2013, increased between 2014 and 2017, and decreased from 2018 for cattle farms. On the other hand, it is found that INTOT data decreased by 12.7%, 13.6%, and 19.1% in 2011, 2014, and 2018, respectively, when meat import data are excluded. According to the regression results of the study, with everything else held constant, a 1% increase in meat imports results in a 0.0861 unit decrease in the cattle farm economic welfare index (NITOT) in the short run, a 0.2129 unit decrease in the medium run, and a 0.2833 unit decrease in the long run. A 1-unit increase in consumer price index (CPI) results in a 0.7264-unit decrease, while a 1-unit increase in the Agriculture and Livestock support index (ASDI) causes a 0.6156-unit increase. As a result, inflation problem and meat imports in Türkiye affect the economic welfare of fattening enterprises negatively and subsidies positively. The regression model obtained as a result of the research will be guiding in animal husbandry policies.
Keywords : Tarım hayvancılık destek endeksi, Ekonomik sürdürülebilirlik, İç ticaret hadleri, Satın alma gücü göstergesi, Regresyon analizi

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