- Balkan Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering
- Volume:6 Issue:2
- Real Measure of a Transmission Line Data with Load Fore-cast Model for The Future
Real Measure of a Transmission Line Data with Load Fore-cast Model for The Future
Authors : Musa YILMAZ
Pages : 141-145
Doi:10.17694/bajece.419646
View : 14 | Download : 6
Publication Date : 2018-04-30
Article Type : Research Paper
Abstract :In this study, an electric transmission line taken hourly data of feeders, belonging to the 1990-2017 year in Turkey by using actual consumption value, load forecasting analysis was done for the future. Short-medium-long term forecast range that results in hourly resolution, presented a mathematical approach to versatile applications. A statistical prediction tool that is called Exponentially Weighted Moving Average insert ignore into journalissuearticles values(EWMA); is used to predict the next year`s demand for transmission in Turkey. In addition to this method, the estimated value of load factors near future, within a few years also has been shown to successfully predict the hour as possible. To load demand will increase in the future, it was presented solutions to be taking precautions.Keywords : Power grids, microgrids, power transmission, power system management, smart grids