AN ANALYSIS ON THE 2015 TÜRKİYE AND RUSSIA AIRCRAFT CRISIS: COMPELLENCE, DETERRENCE AND BALANCING

Authors : Recep Şehitoğlu, Onur Balcı

Pages : 49-73

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Publication Date : 2024-10-30

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :It is possible to state that as a discipline, international security studies have developed within the framework of the realist paradigm and during the period of the Cold War. It is established that the field of security studies, which places a particular emphasis on the role of military power and states in international politics, is consequently designated as strategic studies. In this context, studies on coercion strategies have been implemented focusing on states’ power. On the other hand, power distribution and balance of power in the system along with the ascend of neorealism have been underlined. In this study, the aircraft crisis taking approximately nine months between Turkish-Russian relationship has been examined utilizing both coercion (deterrence and compellence) and balancing strategies. The objective of the study is to clarify the agreement between Türkiye and Russia from the perspective of aforementioned strategies, perception of actors and cost-benefit calculations. In this qualitative case study, the process tracing method was used to reveal the cause-and-effect relationship between variables in a clear and definitive manner. In addition, document analysis technique was used to collect the data. It is concluded that given the estimated exorbitant costs to both parties at the conclusion of the crisis, the parties involved reached an agreement to conclude the crisis.
Keywords : 2015 Aircraft crisis, Compellence, Deterrence, Balancing, International relations, International security, Türkiye, Russia