Some important parameters to display the effects of climate change on forest: a case study in Cerle planning unit, Antalya, Turkey

Authors : Lionel Constantin Fosso, Uzay Karahalıl

Pages : 45-58

Doi:10.17474/artvinofd.527802

View : 429 | Download : 2194

Publication Date : 2020-03-15

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :Climate change is one of the most detrimental issues of the earth in this century. It is evident that a change in climate parameters would affect considerably the entire global ecosystem’s environment. On the other hand, different forest related parameters such as natural disaster occurrence or land cover change of forest ecosystems could also help to understand the effects of climate change besides climate parameters such as temperature, precipitation or relative humidity. Therefore, in this study, selected parameters describing climate change were tried to display in a Mediterranean forest planning unit called “Cerle” located in Antalya. Firstly, trend analysis was carried out using climate parameters in the selected study area to detect the amount of climate change. Then, different natural disaster occurrences such as forest fire, windstorm, insects and pest attack evolution were displayed over a period of 30 to 50 years. Spatiotemporal changes for the same period were also tried to be demonstrated, based on historical and actual maps to identify the impact of climate change on the structure and composition of forest ecosystems. In brief, Mann-Kendall test results showed significant increasing trends in annual mean temperature and precipitation. Moreover, the natural development of crimean pine as a result of land use change analysis, as well as the increasing frequency of wildfires and windstorm leading to salvage cutting have been interpreted as the impact of climate change. It is concluded that changes in selected climate parameters are very important to display the climate change digitally. The outputs of this study could help in future forest management planning decisions and determination of silvicultural prescriptions. Furthermore, the obtained results might be the basis for the integration of climate change to forest management planning related to future climate projections and scenarios.
Keywords : iklim değişikliği, parametreler, doğal afet, Mann-Kendal tesi, Sen Slope, zamansal ve konumsal değişim, Cerle

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