The Impacts in Case of Agricultural Products Joining to Scope of Customs Union on Fresh and Vegetable Sector: A General Equilibrium Analysis

Authors : Osman Orkan ÖZER, Altuğ ÖZDEN

Pages : 77-83

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Publication Date : 2015-12-25

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :Fresh fruit and vegetable trade between the EU and Turkey has an important place in 2012 approximately 50.18% of fresh fruit and vegetable exports of Turkey was carried to EU. This study was conducted to determine the ef-fects that might be caused by the case that the Customs Union insert ignore into journalissuearticles values(CU); Treaty, which was put into effect on January 1, 1996 between Turkey and Europe-an Union insert ignore into journalissuearticles values(EU);, covers agricultural products on fresh fruit and vegetable business with the help of GTAP insert ignore into journalissuearticles values(Global Trade Analysis Project); model. During the analysis, 9 nations-regions and 11 sectors taking place in GTAP database were included in the study. According to the results from the anal-ysis, an increase in Turkey’s foreign trade of Fresh Fruit and Vegetable is expected insert ignore into journalissuearticles values(596.695 million dollars);. Thus, an increase of 6.35% in produc-tion of Fresh Fruit and Vegetable is predicted. An increase of 442.31 million dollar in welfare is estimated if Turkey is fully integrated to CU. It was calculated that such integration will result in an increase of 124.38 million dollars in welfare in total in EU nations.
Keywords : Gümrük Birliği, Yaş Meyve ve Sebze Sektörü, GTAP modeli

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