AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY

Authors : Mehmet YILMAZ, Buse BÜYÜM

Pages : 99-109

Doi:10.1501/Commua1_0000000737

View : 14 | Download : 23

Publication Date : 2015-08-01

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :This study focuses on modelling tourism demand with using number of tourists who came to Turkey between the years 1966-2012 insert ignore into journalissuearticles values(47 years);and bed numbers belonging to accommodation facilities with tourism operation licensed. The number of tourists and beds have only been reached dealingwith the years 1966-2012. Except from these variables, many variables such asstates investment incentives on tourism, tourism revenues, the annual averagetemperature, the parity of foreign currency like Euro, dollar and power of purchasing in the country could be taken into account. The aim of this paper is tocreate a forecasting model about the number of coming tourists and to provideprior information for tourism policies by regarding introduced models. In thissense, forecasting of international tourist arrivals for 2013-2020 is purposed
Keywords : Tourism demand, tourism demand modelling, forecasting, inversemodels, time series models, exponential smoothing models