INTELLIGENCE FAILURE AND IDEOLOGICAL FOREIGN POLICY: TURKEY’S POLICY TO OVERTHROW BASHAR AL-ASSAD DURING THE ARAB SPRING

Authors : Hasan Mesut ÖNDER, Timuçin KODAMAN

Pages : 4-30

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Publication Date : 2023-08-31

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :Intelligence is one of the most important tools that enable the decision-maker to understand the problem or threat while making policy at the state level. However, when the literature is examined in detail, it is seen that intelligence often fails to adequately warn decision-makers. It stands before us as a concrete case where intelligence failure has many dimensions and each dimension affects the failure. There are many studies on the causes of intelligence failure from analysis and collection. However, there are not enough studies on the relationship between the ideological foreign policy and intelligence failure and how they trigger each other. In this study, the framework of ideological foreign policy and intelligence failure and how these two factors affect each other will be outlined, and in this context, Turkey’s policy of overthrowing Bashar al Assad during the Arab Spring will be examined.
Keywords : Intelligence failure, Ideological foreign policy, Turkeys Syria policy, Bashar alAssad, Ahmet Davutoğlu