Factors Affecting International Tourism Demand For Türkiye: Gravity Model-Fuzzy Regression

Authors : Tuba Yakıcı Ayan, Nurdan Değirmenci

Pages : 577-586

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Publication Date : 2024-06-05

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :In this study, to analyze the factors that may stimulate international tourism demand for Turkey is aimed. In empirical analyses, the fuzzy logic approach to gravity model with data from 83 countries that sent tourists to Turkey in 2019 are used. GDP per capita, population, distance, inflation, exchange rate, expenditure and departure variables are used in the analysis. As a result of the study, only population, distance, expenditure and departure variables were found to be significant and only population variable was found to be fuzzy. According to this finding, the effect of the population variable on the number of tourists appears to be positive in all cases. However, the unit effect of change in population is not clear-cut, but it can be expressed by varying values within a range.
Keywords : Turizm talebi, Gravity model, Bulanık regresyon, Doğrusal programlama