Transformation of Routine Jobs in the Türkiye Labor Market: A Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of Artificial Intelligence and Technological Change on Employment (2014–2024)

Authors : Hakan Saraç

Pages : 180-199

Doi:10.46868/atdd.2025.1010

View : 96 | Download : 515

Publication Date : 2025-10-31

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :This study quantitatively analyzes the transformation of Türkiye’s labor market between 2014 and 2024 in terms of job task intensity. Using Mihaylov and Tijdens’ (2019) ISCO-08 task dataset and TurkStat employment data, it identifies major structural shifts driven by technological progress and artificial intelligence–assisted automation. The share of non-routine cognitive jobs increased by 5.2%, while routine manual and non-routine manual jobs declined by 3.3% and 1.8%, respectively. These findings indicate a transition toward knowledge-based sectors and growing employment polarization. High-skilled professional and technical roles expanded, whereas middle-skilled occupations, including skilled agriculture and artisanal work, contracted. Wage structures increasingly favored high-skilled, non-routine cognitive occupations, while gender pay disparities persisted. The study underscores the need for vocational education reforms, targeted incentives, and large-scale reskilling programs to enhance labor market adaptability to technological change.
Keywords : Rutin İşler, İstihdam Kutuplaşması, Yapay Zekâ, Otomasyon, Türkiye İşgücü Piyasası

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