Land Use/Land Cover Change Under Climate Change in a Semi-Arid Ecosystem: The Case of Gümüşhane-Bayburt Forest Management Directorate

Authors : Salih Malkoçoğlu, Ergün Kahveci

Pages : 323-340

Doi:10.17475/kastorman.1845366

View : 107 | Download : 166

Publication Date : 2025-12-25

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :Aim of study: To examine the relationship between land-use/land-cover change (LULCC) and climate change under semi-arid climate conditions. Area of study: This study was conducted within the borders of the Gümüşhane and Bayburt forest management directorates located in northeastern Turkey. Material and method: The temporal change in LULC was determined by using stand maps of LULC for two planning periods (1984-2013 and 2013-2032). Mann-Kendall trend analysis was applied to climate variables, seasonal mean variables, and growth period mean variables. Finally, the relationships between climate change and LULCC are discussed. Main results: According to the study\\\'s findings, the proportion of forested area increased from 14.27% in the first plan period to 22.85% in the subsequent plan period. The increase in the length of the growing period due to temperature increases during the growing season played a significant role in these changes. However, it is believed that the overall rise in temperatures and the trend of increased actual evaporation and transpiration during the growing season may exacerbate severe summer droughts and negatively impact ecosystems in semi-arid regions. Research highlights: This study contributes to understanding the potential impacts of climate change in semi-arid areas and to developing strategies for future planning.
Keywords : Yarı Kurak Ekosistemler, İklim Değişikliği, LULCC

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