Formulating Anticipatory Action with Impact Forecasting in Humanitarian Risk Management

Authors : Ahmet Efe

Pages : 167-188

View : 59 | Download : 85

Publication Date : 2025-07-16

Article Type : Review Paper

Abstract :In the context of escalating humanitarian challenges exacerbated by climate change and socio-political dynamics, this study explores the formulation of anticipatory action with impact forecasting in humanitarian risk management. Recognizing the inadequacy of traditional reactive approaches, the research highlights the necessity for proactive strategies that leverage predictive data to mitigate disaster impacts. This study adopts a qualitative, exploratory research design, employing a mixed-methods approach to analyze the formulation and implementation of anticipatory action supported by impact forecasting within humanitarian risk management. Through a comprehensive analysis, the study identifies the integral relationship between anticipatory action and impact forecasting, presenting methodologies and best practices for implementation. Key findings indicate that regions employing anticipatory measures informed by accurate forecasting experience reduced disaster-related casualties and improved recovery outcomes. This research contributes to the discourse on enhancing humanitarian effectiveness by advocating for a paradigm shift toward anticipatory frameworks that foster resilience and adaptability via proposing a simple integration workflow and strategic guidance for Türkiye authorities.
Keywords : Öngörücü Eylem, Etki Tahmini, İnsani Risk Yönetimi, Proaktif Stratejiler, Felaket Hafifletme

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