RUSSIAN EXODUS: MOBILITY AND GRAVITY

Authors : Canan Çetin, Senanur Uysal

Pages : 1524-1539

Doi:10.35379/cusosbil.1623953

View : 85 | Download : 799

Publication Date : 2025-10-24

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :The war between Russia and Ukraine has triggered large-scale internal and international displacement. This forced mobility has affected not only Ukrainians but also Russian citizens. Following President Putin’s announcement of partial military mobilization on 21 September 2022, a significant number of Russians fled the country to avoid conscription. This study focuses on the most preferred destination countries, specifically Türkiye, Georgia, Armenia, Serbia, and Kazakhstan, examines the factors influencing migrants’ destination choices. It analyzes these preferences through the lens of socioeconomic, cultural, linguistic, and geographical factors, using the gravity model approach. Rooted in Newton’s Law of Gravitation, the gravity model is a migration theory that explains interactions between two locations based on factors such as distance and economic conditions. The study hypothesizes that the gravity model can effectively explain the settlement patterns of Russian migrants fleeing mobilization. Quantitative research methods will be employed, and data analysis will be conducted using SPSS software. This research aims to fill a significant gap in the literature, as there are currently only a limited number of studies addressing the migration triggered by Russia’s military mobilization. Moreover, no existing study has applied the gravity model to this specific case, making this project a unique contribution to the field of migration studies.
Keywords : Askeri seferberlik, Çekim Modeli, Rus göçmen, Rusya- Ukrayna savaşı

ORIGINAL ARTICLE URL