Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey

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İnsan ve Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi
Volume:2 Issue:1
Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey

Exchange Rate Shock and Its Impact on Import: The Case of Turkey

Authors : Aydoğan DURMUŞ

Pages : 102-112

View : 52 | Download : 17

Publication Date : 2019-05-21

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :Factors affecting foreign trade have always been an area of interest. Foreign exchange rates are a variable that comes to the fore due to other factors. In many applied studies, the effects of changes in exchange rates on imports and exports were examined. In many studies, although there are no supporting findings, explanatory and contributing results have been reached. In this study, the volatility of exchange rate was determined by using a new method, Markov Switching ARCH econometrics, and the effect of foreign exchange shocks was investigated. As a result of the regression, it was seen that the import value was affected by the risks caused by the uncertainty of exchange rate.
Keywords : Exchange rate, import, export, foreign trade

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