Trade, Exports and Local Development In Turkey\\\'s Border Cities: A Panel Data Approach

Authors : Abdullah Bahadır Şaşmaz

Pages : 42-59

Doi:10.29249/selcuksbmyd.1584020

View : 32 | Download : 35

Publication Date : 2025-04-30

Article Type : Research Paper

Abstract :This study investigates the bidirectional relationship between trade, exports, and local development in 14 border cities of Turkey from 2004 to 2021, utilizing variables such as patent and trademark registrations, population, government expenditures and time dummy variables by using panel data analysis. The findings reveal that border trade and exports, along with GDP per capita, do not have statistically significant effects on each other. However, a positive relationship is found between total trade, exports, and GDP per capita, indicating the importance of expanding trade beyond neighboring countries. Population growth negatively impacts GDP per capita and total exports, but positively affects total trade. The study suggests that border provinces need strategies to manage population growth, improve workforce quality, and promote value-added production. Central government expenditures positively influence all variables except for total trade, indicating the importance of state investments in local economic development. Furthermore, the increase in brand registrations positively impacts exports and GDP per capita, while patents contribute to total exports. The study highlights the need for a more comprehensive approach to trade, encouraging diversification and reassessment of heterodox economy policies for sustainable growth.
Keywords : İhracat, Kalkınma, Patent ve Marka Tescili, Kamu Harcamaları, Nüfus Artışı