Epidemiological modelling in infectious diseases: stages and classification

Authors : Özge YILMAZ ÇAĞIRGAN, Abdurrahman CAGIRGAN

Pages : 151-158

Doi:10.24880/maeuvfd.695267

View : 22 | Download : 15

Publication Date : 2020-12-30

Article Type : Review Paper

Abstract :Modelling in infectious diseases has recently been an important field due to avian influenza, swine influenza, severe acute respiratory syndrome insert ignore into journalissuearticles values(SARS);, Middle East respiratory syndrome-coronavirus insert ignore into journalissuearticles values(MERS-CoV);, novel coronavirus insert ignore into journalissuearticles values(nCoV); and many other diseases. Epidemiological models are usually defined as mathematical and/or logical demonstrations of epidemiology of diseases and the related process. Concerning animal disease management, ‘models’ can be defined more widely in that they contain a range of statistical/mathematical tools regarding other aspects of the disease in addition to its spreading. Modelling might be useful when experimental or field studies are impossible or not practical or in retrospective analyzing of previous epidemics in order to search alternative control strategies. The aim of this study was to examine some of the modelling methods and determine what mathematical modelling meant in infectious diseases, its purpose of use, to classify the steps followed during modelling period and models used in the field of animal health.
Keywords : Infectious diseases, epidemiological modelling, modelling stages